Chart: Medical cannabis as alternative to opioids could give Illinois' MMJ program a massive boost

Pending legislation in Illinois that would allow medical marijuana as an alternative to opioid prescriptions could fundamentally alter the business landscape in the state.

The move could potentially add tens of thousands of new patients to the MMJ program and eventually generate hundreds of millions in additional sales.

The Illinois General Assembly on May 31 passed SB 0336, a pilot program authorizing individuals to use medical cannabis as an alternative to opioids. The bill awaits the signature of Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner, who has been hesitant to expand Illinois’ MMJ program in the past.

Though Rauner may eventually veto the measure, it’s worth considering how passage of the bill could impact the MMJ business climate.

A similar measure is in development in New York, and states throughout the country are looking for ways to reduce the use of opioids and fight opioid-related overdose deaths, which have risen dramatically in recent years.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), about 19% of the U.S. population had at least one opioid prescription filled in 2016. At that rate, roughly 2.4 million Illinois residents would qualify to use MMJ as an alternative, based on the state’s population of 12.8 million.

While there’s little chance of every qualified patient opting for the cannabis alternative, the expansion opportunity is still enormous.

Combining data from the CDC and state MMJ programs that track patient counts by condition shows that, on average, about 15% of individuals with cancer enroll in these programs when available.

If Illinois residents enrolled in the MMJ program as an alternative to opioid use at the same rate as cancer patients, that translates into roughly 365,00 new patients – nearly 10 times the number currently enrolled.

Enrollment at even a quarter of what’s observed in cancer patients – 3.5% –

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